Como seleccionar as melhores empresas para investir na Bolsa

 

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Stock-picking steps (narrowing down process)


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1. Mapping

  • Asset class selection

  • Macro capital allocation (long term)

  • Underlying and instrument selection

  • Matching investor profiles and objectives to investment strategies

  • Database selection (Types and quality of data: institutional, market, financial, events & other)

 

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2. Tracking/Prospecting

  • Holding term rotations (Example: zigzag charts)

  • Group/style tracking (Examples: sector and style rotations)

  • Shoal selection (combinatorics)

  • Tracking the shoal or the fish

 

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3. Screening

  • Strategy selection

  • Strategy design

  • Following the gurus

  • Filtering techniques

  • Pre-defined screens (e.g. TA Screens)

 

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4. Due Diligence analysis

  • Strengths (Historical returns, profitability, financial strength, momentum)

  • Weaknesses (Valuation, price manipulation, exposure to scams)

  • Short listing based on scoring

  • Short listing based on stock ratings

 

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5. Inertia and momentum analysis

 

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6. Watchlist building

  • Selection based on multi-dimensional analysis (Illustrative charting)

  • Multi-period analysis and timing

  • Multi-strategies

 

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7. Diversification and weighting

  • Understanding (why) diversification

  • Diversification check-up

  • Portfolio weighting methods

    • Risk: Mean-variance optimizers and the efficiency curve

    • Quality: StockMarksTM quality rating

    • Other (equal weight, capitalization, etc.)

 

 

 

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8. Cost-benefit analysis of sophisticated stock-picking processes


Prof. António Marques-Mendes
Office nr.: 417. Tel +351-239-790-548; Fax +351-239-790-413
Web site   http://www.marques-mendes.com • E-mail feuc.students@marques-mendes.com

Lectures and seminars take place in Sala Multimédia.

Tutorials and appointments are available on Thursdays from 4-5PM by prior booking through email

Details on Marques Mendes' current research interests and availability to supervise MBA and PhD thesis can be found in his personal web page.